A forecast from Moody's says: Global economic growth continues to slow, moving towards a lower long-term trend, business confidence in major economies is weak amid uncertainty about trade policies. We do not expect a recession in the global economy in 2020 or 2021. However, the current economic environment is characterized by structurally low growth, low inflation and limited room for maneuver in terms of policy, which makes the economy more vulnerable to adverse events.
Moody's expects slowdowns in the two largest economies in the world – the United States and China in 2020.
In the United States, growth in 2020 will decline to 1.7% from 2.3% in 2019. In 2021, US GDP growth will accelerate to 1.9%
In China, the growth rate in 2020 will decline to 5.8% from 6.2%.
In 2021, China's GDP growth will slow to 5.7%
G20 GDP will grow by 1.6% in 2019, 1.4% in 2020 and 1.6% in 2021.
In Europe, Eurozone GDP growth will be 1.1%, 1.2% and 1.4%, respectively, in 2019, 2020 and 2021.
Germany's GDP will grow by 0.6%, 1% and 1.3% in 2019, 2020 and 2021.
